3-MONTH EURO INTERBANK OFFERED RATE (EURIBOR) - FORECAST CHART
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VARIABLE DESCRIPTION
This page provides monthly data & forecasts of the Euro Interbank Offered Rate (EURIBOR), the unsecured euro-denominated short-term lending rate quoted by a panel of leading European banks. The 3-month EURIBOR is the most widely referenced tenor and underpins trillions of euros in floating-rate mortgages, corporate loans, and derivative contracts across the euro area.
Because EURIBOR reflects both a term component and banks' credit risk, it typically fixes above overnight near-risk-free benchmarks such as €STR. Movements in EURIBOR therefore embed expectations of European Central Bank policy as well as evolving perceptions of banking-sector funding conditions.
Historical data and forecasted values on this page represent monthly averages of daily fixings.
PRIMARY FORECAST MODEL
Our market consensus forecast is refreshed each trading day using settlement prices for ICE 3-Month EURIBOR futures, the euro sovereign yield curve, and €STR futures data. A minimal term-premium adjustment isolates the forward policy and credit expectations embedded in futures pricing, so the resulting path can be interpreted as the median view of informed market participants.
Although the model prioritizes consistency with real-time market pricing, its high-frequency updates have produced smaller forecast errors than slower-moving survey and institutional projections. Archived forecast vintages are available below for usage.
The EURIBOR forecast is published daily at 9:35 ET using settlement data from the previous trading session.
Each colored line represents a forecast generated on a single date. Click a date on the chart legend to add or remove a forecast. The most recent forecast as well as the first forecast of each month are available.
The grey line shows realized (actual) values of the variable†.
† If the date is for the current period, this value represents an average of data available so far.
ROLLING PREDICTION HISTORIES
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Each colored line represents forecasts over time for a single target period. Click a date on the chart legend to change the target date. The most recent forecast as well as the first forecast of each month are available.
The grey line shows realized (actual) values of the variable. Thus, the difference between the grey line and the forecast line represents how much the variable is forecasted to change between the time the forecast was made and the target date. For forecasts whose target dates have already arrived, the ✕ indicator displays the realized value of the target forecast†.
† If the date is for the current period, this value represents an average of data available so far.